Seldon Vault
Multi-agent AI forecasting engine for geopolitical, economic, technological, social, environmental, military, and cybersecurity events.·seldonvault.io
Seldon Vault is a free, public AI-powered geopolitical forecasting engine that uses a multi-agent LLM architecture with 11 specialized analysts (including dual-persona Hawk/Dove and Bull/Bear pairs), an adversarial Skeptic, and a Seldon Arbiter to generate daily probabilistic forecasts. It analyzes global events across geopolitical, economic, technological, social, environmental, military, and cybersecurity domains, using Bayesian probability updates and Brier score accuracy tracking. It also provides a public read-only REST API, an interactive world map with regional risk analysis, cascade narrative detection, and bilingual (English/Russian) forecasting ranging from days to century-scale horizons.
What it's for
Features 18
- Adversarial Skeptic review with web search fact-checking
- Bayesian probability updates every 6 hours
- Bilingual support (English and Russian)
- Brier score accuracy tracking
- Cascade narrative detection (causal chains between forecasts)
- Daily AI-generated geopolitical forecasts
- Five Pillars framework: Game Theory, Bayesian reasoning, Systems Dynamics, Historical Analogy, Network Analysis
- Historical analogy matching via RAG (pgvector)
- Interactive world map with regional risk analysis
- Knowledge Graph: signal clustering, source reliability ratings, event chain linking
- Long-term forecasting (decade to century horizons)
- Multi-agent ensemble analysis (11 specialized analysts including dual-persona Hawk/Dove and Bull/Bear pairs)
- Public read-only REST API with no authentication required
- Real-time updates via Server-Sent Events
- Seldon Arbiter (ReACT reasoning-and-acting mode with 6 tools)
- Seldon Crisis detection for high-probability critical events confirmed by multiple analysts
- Seldon Plan: monthly long-term (1-10 year) structural forecasting
- The Mule: weekly contrarian analysis with absurdity index and cui bono
Pricing
The entire product, including the API, is offered free of charge; no paid plans are listed.
The platform and its REST API are free and public with no paid tiers mentioned.